Archive for August, 2009

Shorts on the Defensive

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

As the S&P 500 rose by 11.3% from July 10th through July 28th short interest fell sharply – on the New York Stock Exchange by 10.3% and on the NASDAQ by 5.1%.

As covering intensified, investors concentrated new short positions in companies with well-know bearish stories. On the short side, this is a relatively defensive position which is the equivalent of a long investor owning 3M or Coca-Cola. Companies: PALM, VPRT, MTG, RHT, DECK and DTV.

Short Interest as % of Shares Outstanding
(Sector averages in gray.)

PALM INC (PALM)

PALM INC (PALM)

VISTAPRINT LTD (VPRT)

VISTAPRINT LTD (VPRT)

MGIC INVESTMENT CORP (MTG)

MGIC INVESTMENT CORP (MTG)

RED HAT INC (RHT)

RED HAT INC (RHT)

DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK)

DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK)

DIRECTV GROUP INC (DECK)

DIRECTV GROUP INC (DTV)

Coal

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

Short investors believe that coal will take a beating in the Obama administration, perhaps for environmental reasons. Coal producers or heavy coal users – some of the largest new short positions – included ANR, FCL and MIR.

Short Interest as % of Shares Outstanding

ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC (ARN)

ALPHA NATURAL RESOURCES INC (ARN)

FOUNDATION COAL HOLDINGS INC (FCL)

FOUNDATION COAL HOLDINGS INC (FCL)

MIRANT CORP (MIR)

MIRANT CORP (MIR)

China

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

Short investors are also skeptical of rapidly advancing stock prices in China. More air moving into the bubble could lead to its bursting. New positions focused on two large Internet companies – SINA and SOHU – that have collapsing revenue growth and weakening fundamentals.

SINA SOHU
Short Interest Score© SINA Short Interest Score SOHU Short Interest Score
Short Interest
(as % of shares outstanding)
SINA Short Interest SOHU Short Interest
Revenue Growth
(Trailing 12 months)
SINA Revenue Growth SOHU Revenue Growth Chart